New Hampshire Democratic Governor nominee? Odds & Predictions 2026
New Hampshire Democratic Governor nominee?
New Hampshire Democratic Governor nominee?
Begins in 83 days · Sep 8, 8:00am EDT
Chance
Cinde Warmington
91.7%
▲ 1.7
Cinde Warmington
91.7%
▲ 1.7
Jon Kiper
0.2%
Jon Kiper
0.2%
Tom Sherman
0.2%
Tom Sherman
0.2%
2 more
Market Rules
Cinde Warmington
If Cinde Warmington wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 New Hampshire Governorship, then the market resolves toYes. Outcome verified from Democratic Party.
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.
Timeline and payout
Market openDec 6, 2025 · 10:00am EST
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout5 minutes after closing
This market will close after Cinde Warmington wins the party's nomination. Otherwise, it closes by Nov 3, 2027 at 11:00am EDT.
SeriesKXGOVNHNOMD
EventKXGOVNHNOMD-26
MarketKXGOVNHNOMD-26-CWAR
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Holders of federal and statewide public office.
Paid campaign staffers on gubernatorial campaigns.
Anyone working in a vote-tallying capacity, or who has the potential ability to observe official vote counts before they are public.
Third-party vendors and contractors (and employees thereof) of gubernatorial campaigns
Paid employees of Democratic and Republican Party organizations, such as the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee or the Republican National Committee.
Paid employees of Political Action Committees (PACs) and “Super PACs” (independent expenditure only political committees).
Paid employees of major polling organizations. This prohibition does not apply to all employees of an organization that contains a polling division (e.g. the prohibition does not apply to all employees of Quinnipiac University despite the presence of Quinnipiac University’s polling division). The Exchange shall determine which polling organizations constitute “major” and may modify that determination at any time, and will post publicly a list of those organizations on its website.
Employees of Decision Desks at major media organizations (including, but not necessarily exclusive to, Fox News, ABC News, AP, CNN, CBS News, Decision Desk HQ and NBC News). The Exchange shall determine which media organizations constitute “major” and may modify that determination at any time, and will post publicly a list of those organizations on its website.
All staff of the U.S. House of Representatives and its members.
All staff of the U.S. Senate and its members.
All staff of the Office of the President of the United States
All staff of the Office of the Vice President of the United States
All staff of the U.S. Supreme Court and its Justices
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event