How many states will elect a governor and senator from different parties this year? Odds & Predictions 2026
How many states will elect a governor and senator from different parties this year?
How many states will elect a governor and senator from different parties this year?
Chance
3
20%
▲ 9
3
20%
▲ 9
4
22%
4
22%
5
8%
5
8%
4 more
Market Rules
0
If the number of states in which the winner of the 2026 gubernatorial general election and the winner of a 2026 U.S. Senate general election (including special elections) are nominees of different political parties is exactly 0, then the market resolves toYes. Outcome verified from U.S. Congress and State governments.
If a runoff is required to determine the winner of any race, the runoff result governs. Candidates elected as independents or without a party nomination are considered a different party from any party nominee.
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.
Timeline and payout
Market openJun 9, 2026 · 4:00pm EDT
Market closesNov 3, 2026 · 9:59am EST
Projected payoutFeb 1, 2027 · 10:30am EST
SeriesKXGOVSENDIFF
EventKXGOVSENDIFF-27FEB01
MarketKXGOVSENDIFF-27FEB01-E0
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