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How much government spending will Trump and Elon cut this year?
$
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
B
forecast
▼
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
.
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
0
Dec
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
$0B
$100B
$200B
$300B
$400B
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Before 2026 (+2)
Chance
$3,062,867
vol
At least 1 billion
37%
▲ 1
Yes
39¢
No
65¢
At least 1 billion
37%
▲ 1
Yes
39¢
No
65¢
At least 25 billion
36%
▲ 2
Yes
37¢
No
64¢
At least 25 billion
36%
▲ 2
Yes
37¢
No
64¢
At least 50 billion
30%
Yes
31¢
No
72¢
At least 50 billion
30%
Yes
31¢
No
72¢
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Rules summary for
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At least 25 billion
If government spending decreases by at least $25 billion during Q4 2024 to Q4 2025, then the market resolves to
Yes
.
Outcome verified from
FRED
.
Each quarter during Q4 2024 to Q4 2025 is compared against Q4 2024.
View full rules
Market Rules
Timeline and payout
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How much government spending will Trump and Elon cut this year?
Buy Yes
· At least 25 billion
Buy
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Dollars
Pick a side
Yes
37¢
No
64¢
Amount
Contracts
0
Average price
37¢
Payout if
Yes
wins
$0
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/markets/kxgovtcuts/government-budget-cuts
$400B