How much government spending will Trump and Elon cut this year?
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6H
1D
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ALL
Before 2026 (+2)
Chance
$3,336,780vol
At least 1 billion
26%
▼ 1
At least 25 billion
20%
▼ 1
At least 50 billion
16%
▼ 3
6 more markets
Rules summary for
At least 1 billion
If government spending decreases by at least $1 billion during Q4 2024 to Q4 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from FRED.
Each quarter during Q4 2024 to Q4 2025 is compared against Q4 2024. Timeline and payout
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How much government spending will Trump and Elon cut this year?
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