How much government spending will Trump and Elon cut this year?
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6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Before 2026 (+2)
% Chance
$2,480,468vol
At least 1 billion
47%
+1
At least 25 billion
35%
-2
At least 50 billion
37%
+1
6 more markets
Rules summary for
At least 1 billion
If government spending decreases by at least $1 billion during Q4 2024 to Q4 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from FRED.
Each quarter during Q4 2024 to Q4 2025 is compared against Q4 2024. Timeline and payout
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How much government spending will Trump and Elon cut this year?
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