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How much government spending will Trump and Elon cut this year?

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ALL

Before 2026 (+2)
Chance
$3,062,867vol

At least 1 billion
37%
▲ 1

At least 25 billion
36%
▲ 2

At least 50 billion
30%

6 more markets

Rules summary for
At least 25 billion
If government spending decreases by at least $25 billion during Q4 2024 to Q4 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from FRED.
Each quarter during Q4 2024 to Q4 2025 is compared against Q4 2024.

Timeline and payout

Series Image
How much government spending will Trump and Elon cut this year?
Buy Yes · At least 25 billion
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Contracts0
Average price
37¢
Payout if Yes wins
$0