Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive482AccountSocial
MARKETSINVESTLIVE482
Product
Kalshi ProInvestMarketsIncentive programSmall business hedgingInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center

© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
Series Image
  1. Iran

How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get this year?



Chance

Above 30
16%
▼ 7

Above 30

16%
▼ 7

Above 40
14%
▲ 3

Above 40

14%
▲ 3

Above 50
7%
▼ 3

Above 50

7%
▼ 3

7 more

How high will average weekly Hormuz traffic get this year?

Above 30

Odds
19% chance
Max payout
Jan 5, 2027
$0
$217,966 vol
More Politics Markets

Trending Politics markets

Will the House impeach Trump?Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?Who will leave their role in the Trump administration this year?Will Trump declare an election emergency?US-Iran nuclear deal?Will Trump be impeached and removed from office?

Politics hub

All Politics markets