When will Lance Schroyer be confirmed as ICE director? Odds & Predictions 2026
When will Lance Schroyer be confirmed as ICE director?
When will Lance Schroyer be confirmed as ICE director?
Chance
Before Aug 1, 2026
5%
▼ 4
Before Aug 1, 2026
5%
▼ 4
Before Oct 1, 2026
5%
▼ 41
Before Oct 1, 2026
5%
▼ 41
Before Jan 1, 2027
65%
Before Jan 1, 2027
65%
Before Mar 1, 2027
75%
Before Mar 1, 2027
75%
Market Rules
Before Aug 1, 2026
Resolves Yes ifLance Schroyer is the first person confirmed as Director of U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement before Aug 1, 2026.Outcome verified from U.S. Senate.
If a nomination is withdrawn before the deadline, that market immediately resolves to No.
Timeline and payout
Market openJun 29, 2026 · 4:23pm EDT
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs Otherwise, it closes by Jul 31, 2026 at 11:59pm EDT.
SeriesKXICECONF
EventKXICECONF-26JUN29
MarketKXICECONF-26JUN29-AUG01
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