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AI wins IMO gold medal this year?

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Before 2026
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Rules summary
If an AI has won the gold medal at the International Math Olympiad before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from IMO Grand Challenge Committee and XTX Markets.

Timeline and payout

About
The International Math Olympiad (IMO) is a prestigious annual competition for high school students worldwide. The prospect of an AI winning a gold medal at the IMO has sparked debate. Some experts believe this achievement would signify major AI advancements, while others argue it doesn’t equate to autonomous research capabilities. The IMO test must be current, and training on previous questions is allowed, similar to human preparation. Concerns about dataset contamination remain, as models may have encountered similar questions before.
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AI wins IMO gold medal this year?
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