When will Trump's Labor Secretary pick be confirmed? Odds & Predictions 2026
When will Trump's Labor Secretary pick be confirmed?
When will Trump's Labor Secretary pick be confirmed?
Chance
Before Aug 1, 2026
2%
Before Aug 1, 2026
2%
Before Sep 1, 2026
10%
Before Sep 1, 2026
10%
Before Jan 1, 2027
60%
Before Jan 1, 2027
60%
2 more
Market Rules
Before Jul 1, 2026
Resolves Yes ifTrump's first announced Labor Secretary pick is the first person confirmed as Secretary of Labor before Jul 1, 2026.Outcome verified from U.S. Senate.
If a nomination is withdrawn before the deadline, that market immediately resolves to No.
Timeline and payout
Market openApr 20, 2026 · 5:45pm EDT
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs Otherwise, it closes by Jun 30, 2026 at 11:59pm EDT.
SeriesKXLABORSECCONF
EventKXLABORSECCONF-26
MarketKXLABORSECCONF-26-JUL01
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