Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before end of year? Odds & Predictions 2026
Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before end of year?
Highest score on Humanity's Last Exam before end of year?
Chance
At least 55%
62%
At least 55%
62%
At least 60%
48%
At least 60%
48%
At least 65%
37%
At least 65%
37%
6 more
Market Rules
At least 50%
If any language model achieves an accuracy of at least 50% on Humanity's Last Exam before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves toYes. Outcome verified from Humanity's Last Exam.
Note: this event is directional.
Timeline and payout
Market openMay 20, 2026 · 10:00am EDT
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Dec 31, 2026 at 10:00am EST.
SeriesKXLASTEXAM
EventKXLASTEXAM-26DEC31
MarketKXLASTEXAM-26DEC31-T50
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.