Swalwell, Gonzales, Mills, and Cherfilus-McCormick out as Representatives?
Swalwell, Gonzales, Mills, and Cherfilus-McCormick out as Representatives?
Chance
Before Jul 1, 2026
2%
Before Jul 1, 2026
2%
Before Nov 3, 2026
45%
Before Nov 3, 2026
45%
Before Jun 1, 2026
No
Before Jun 1, 2026
No
Market Rules
Before Jul 1, 2026
If all four of Representatives Tony Gonzales, Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick leave the U.S. House of Representatives (based on actual departure date, per EFFECTIVELEAVE) before July 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from House of Representatives.
Timeline and payout
Market openApr 13, 2026 · 2:00pm EDT
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXLEAVEHOUSECOMBO
EventKXLEAVEHOUSECOMBO-27JAN01
MarketKXLEAVEHOUSECOMBO-27JAN01-B260701
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