Manchin leaves Dem leadership by the election?
Manchin leaves Dem leadership by the election?
Order book
Yes
Market Rules
The outcome is Yes
Resolves Yes if the website of Senator Joe Manchin contains a notice by 10:00 AM on November 06, 2024 that Senator Joe Manchin has left or will leave the Senate leadership of the Democratic Party.Outcome verified from The Office of U.S. Senator Joe Manchin.
An announcement that he has left or will leave the Democratic Party or its caucus is also sufficient to resolve the market to Yes. Announcements that he will leave conditional on political outcomes (such as provisions being included or excluded from an upcoming bill) are not by themselves sufficient to resolve the market to Yes. Else the market resolves to No. Please see MANCHIN in the Rulebook for the legally binding terms and conditions.
Timeline and payout
Market openMay 19, 2023 · 3:00pm EDT
Market closedAfter the outcome occurs
Paid out1 hour after closing
SeriesKXMANCHIN
EventMANCHIN-24NOV06
MarketMANCHIN-24NOV06
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.