Will Meta release an AI model that isn't open source in 2025?

$17,364 vol

Order book

No

The outcome is No

Resolves Yes if Meta releases a large language model without releasing (and without announcing plans to release) its weights, or announces that they will do so, before Dec 31, 2025.Outcome verified from The New York Times, the Associated Press, Reuters, Axios, Politico, Semafor, The Information, The Washington Post, The Wall Street Journal, ABC, CBS, CNN, Fox News, MSNBC, and Meta.

Timeline and payout

Market openMar 19, 2025 · 10:00am EDT

Market closedAfter the outcome occurs

Paid out30 minutes after closing

This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Dec 31, 2025 at 10:00am EST.

SeriesKXMETACLOSE

EventKXMETACLOSE-25

MarketKXMETACLOSE-25

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