Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive543AccountSocial
MARKETSINVESTLIVE543
Product
Kalshi ProInvestMarketsIncentive programSmall business hedgingInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center
© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
Series Image
  1. US Elections

New York’s 21st District margin of victory

LIVE
624
Chance
Constantino, 18+ pts
7.9%
▼ 14.1

Constantino, 18+ pts

7.9%
▼ 14.1
Constantino, 21+ pts
4.9%

Constantino, 21+ pts

4.9%
Constantino, 24+ pts
11%

Constantino, 24+ pts

11%
6 more

People are also trading
Series Image
NY-21 House winner?
Series Image
New York's 21st District margin of victory
Series Image
New York 21 House General Election: voter turnout
Series Image
NY-21 House election: Anthony Constantino vote percent
Series Image
NY-21 House election: Blake Gendebien vote percent
Series Image
NY-21 House election: Christopher Schmidt vote percent
Series Image
NY-21 House election: Michael Metzgier vote percent
Series Image
NY-21 House election: Robert Smullen vote percent
Series Image
Texas Senate winner?
Series Image
Who will control the House?
New York’s 21st District margin of victory
Constantino, 1+ pts

Constantino, 1+ pts

Odds
70% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Race Intel
CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Anthony ConstantinoR
    $9.5M
    0.0%
    $9.5M raised·0.0% small donors
  • Blake GendebienD
    $5.5M
    47%
    $5.5M raised·47% small donors
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.
Past presidential elections
2024R +20.7%2020R +15.7%
More Elections Markets

More Midterm margin of victory markets

Alaska Governor margin of victoryAlaska Governor margin of victoryAlaska Senate margin of victoryAlaska Senate margin of victoryAlabama's 2nd District margin of victoryArkansas's 2nd District margin of victoryCalifornia's 4th District margin of victoryCalifornia's 4th District margin of victory

Trending Elections markets

Maine Senate winner?Mississippi Senate winner?Nebraska Senate winner?How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?2028 Democratic presidential nomineeLos Angeles Mayor winner?Texas Governor winner?How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?

Elections hub

All Elections markets