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Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?
Joni Ernst 20%
No other person 20%
Apr 1
Apr 4
Apr 7
Apr 10
Apr 13
19.95%
20%
20.05%
20.1%
20.15%
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Next Secretary of Defense
Chance
Joni Ernst
20%
Yes
23¢
No
90¢
Joni Ernst
20%
Yes
23¢
No
90¢
No other person
20%
Yes
20¢
No
94¢
No other person
20%
Yes
20¢
No
94¢
Steve Feinberg
5%
Yes
8¢
No
97¢
Steve Feinberg
5%
Yes
8¢
No
97¢
More markets
Rules summary for
Learn more
Joni Ernst
If Secretary of Defense is Joni Ernst before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to
Yes
.
Sources from
The New York Times
,
the Associated Press
,
Reuters
,
Axios
,
Politico
,
Semafor
,
The Information
,
The Washington Post
,
The Wall Street Journal
,
ABC
,
CBS
,
CNN
,
Fox News
, and
MSNBC
.
Acting and Interim positions don't count.
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.
View full rules
Market Rules
Timeline and payout
Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?
Buy Yes
· Joni Ernst
Buy
Sell
Dollars
Pick a side
Yes
23¢
No
90¢
Amount
Contracts
0
Average price
23¢
Payout if
Yes
wins
$0
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/markets/kxnextdef/next-defense-sec
20.15%