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Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?

Joni Ernst 20%
No other person 20%
Apr 1Apr 4Apr 7Apr 10Apr 1319.95%20%20.05%20.1%20.15%
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Next Secretary of Defense
Chance

Joni Ernst
20%

No other person
20%

Steve Feinberg
5%

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Rules summary for
Joni Ernst
If Secretary of Defense is Joni Ernst before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from The New York Times, the Associated Press, Reuters, Axios, Politico, Semafor, The Information, The Washington Post, The Wall Street Journal, ABC, CBS, CNN, Fox News, and MSNBC.
Acting and Interim positions don't count. Note: this event is mutually exclusive.

Timeline and payout

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Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense?
Buy Yes · Joni Ernst
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