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Nobel Prize in Literature: 2026 Odds & Predictions
Science and Technology
·
Physics & Math
Nobel Prize in Literature: 2026
Science and Technology
·
Physics & Math
Nobel Prize in Literature: 2026
Chance
Mircea Cărtărescu
14%
▼ 35
Yes
10¢
No
91¢
Mircea Cărtărescu
14%
▼ 35
Yes
10¢
No
91¢
Amitav Ghosh
10%
▼ 39
Yes
15¢
No
86¢
Amitav Ghosh
10%
▼ 39
Yes
15¢
No
86¢
Haruki Murakami
3%
▼ 46
Yes
17¢
No
87¢
Haruki Murakami
3%
▼ 46
Yes
17¢
No
87¢
7 more
Market Rules
Margaret Atwood
Resolves Yes if
Margaret Atwood has won the 2026 Nobel Prize in Literature
.
Outcome verified from
Nobel Foundation
.
View full rules
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Timeline and payout
Market open
Jun 30, 2026 · 9:00pm EDT
Market closes
Oct 9, 2026 · 11:59pm EDT
Projected payout
Oct 10, 2026 · 12:59am EDT
Series
KXNOBELLIT
Event
KXNOBELLIT-26
Market
KXNOBELLIT-26-MAR
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Buy
Sell
Dollars
Margaret Atwood
YES --
NO --
Dollars
$
Odds
0% chance
Max payout
$0
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