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Nobel Physics winner? Odds & Predictions 2026
Science and Technology
·
Physics & Math
Nobel Physics winner?
Science and Technology
·
Physics & Math
Nobel Physics winner?
Chance
Charles Kane
30%
Yes
30¢
No
78¢
Charles Kane
30%
Yes
30¢
No
78¢
Alexei Kitaev
20%
▲ 6
Yes
21¢
No
87¢
Alexei Kitaev
20%
▲ 6
Yes
21¢
No
87¢
Eugene Mele
16%
Yes
19¢
No
89¢
Eugene Mele
16%
Yes
19¢
No
89¢
More markets
Market Rules
Charles Kane
If Charles Kane has won the 2026 Nobel prize for Physics, then the market resolves to
Yes
.
Outcome verified from
Nobel Foundation
.
View full rules
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Timeline and payout
Market open
May 14, 2026 · 10:00am EDT
Market closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 10:00am EST
Projected payout
Jan 1, 2027 · 4:00pm EST
Series
KXNOBELPHYSICS
Event
KXNOBELPHYSICS-26
Market
KXNOBELPHYSICS-26-CKAN
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
$3,289 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL