How much better will OpenAI's models be than Google's?
How much better will OpenAI's models be than Google's?
Above 0 points
No
Above 0 points
No
Above 20 points
No
Above 20 points
No
Above 37 points
Gap on Nov 4, 2024
No
Above 37 points
Gap on Nov 4, 2024
No
3 more
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Market Rules
Above 0 points
Resolves Yes if the difference between OpenAI's best model and Google's best model is above 0 elo points on Dec 31, 2025.Outcome verified from LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Controls).
Timeline and payout
Market openNov 5, 2024 · 10:00am EST
Market closedDec 31, 2025 · 10:00am EST
Paid outDec 31, 2025 · 10:05am EST
SeriesKXOAIGOOGLE
EventKXOAIGOOGLE-25DEC31
MarketKXOAIGOOGLE-25DEC31-0
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