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Who will win the Ontario election?
Progressive Conservative 100%
Liberal N/A
New Democratic N/A
Feb
Feb
Mar
Mar
Apr
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Before 2025 (+0)
$6,537
vol
Progressive Conservative
Yes
Progressive Conservative
Yes
Liberal
No
Liberal
No
New Democratic
No
New Democratic
No
Green
No
Green
No
Rules summary for
Learn more
Progressive Conservative
The outcome is Progressive Conservative
If the Progressive Conservative party wins the most seats in the 2025 Ontario general election, then the market resolves to
Yes
.
Sources from
The New York Times
,
Reuters
,
Axios
,
Politico
,
Semafor
,
The Information
,
The Washington Post
,
The Wall Street Journal
,
ABC
,
CBS
,
CNN
,
Fox News
,
MSNBC
, and
CBC
.
If two parties are reported to hold the same number of seats following the
election, then the party that had the highest vote share will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.
View full rules
Market Rules
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