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Who will win the Ontario election?

Progressive Conservative 100%
Liberal N/A
New Democratic N/A
FebFebMarMarApr0%25%50%75%100%
1D
1W
1M
ALL

Before 2025 (+0)
$6,537vol

Progressive Conservative
Yes

Liberal
No

New Democratic
No

Green
No

Rules summary for
Progressive Conservative
The outcome is Progressive Conservative
If the Progressive Conservative party wins the most seats in the 2025 Ontario general election, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from The New York Times, Reuters, Axios, Politico, Semafor, The Information, The Washington Post, The Wall Street Journal, ABC, CBS, CNN, Fox News, MSNBC, and CBC.
If two parties are reported to hold the same number of seats following the election, then the party that had the highest vote share will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No. Note: this event is mutually exclusive.

Timeline and payout