Which party will win the most seats in the Portuguese general election?
Social Democratic Party 69%
Socialist Party 30%
Left Bloc 1%
1D
1W
1M
ALL
2025
Chance
$4,298vol
Social Democratic Party
69%
Socialist Party
30%
Left Bloc
<1%
5 more markets
Rules summary for
Social Democratic Party
If Social Democratic Party wins the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese general election for its Assembly of the Republic, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from Politico EU, The New York Times, the Associated Press, Reuters, Axios, Politico, Semafor, The Information, The Washington Post, The Wall Street Journal, ABC, CBS, CNN, Fox News, and MSNBC.
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.Timeline and payout
Which party will win the most seats in the Portuguese general election?
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