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Which party will win the most seats in the Portuguese general election? Odds & Predictions 2025
Politics
Which party will win the most seats in the Portuguese general election?
Politics
Which party will win the most seats in the Portuguese general election?
Social Democratic Party
Yes
Social Democratic Party
Yes
Socialist Party
No
Socialist Party
No
Chega
No
Chega
No
5 more
Market Rules
Social Democratic Party
The outcome is Social Democratic Party
Resolves Yes if
Social Democratic Party wins the most seats in the 2025 Portuguese general election for its Assembly of the Republic
.
Outcome verified from
Politico EU
,
The New York Times
,
the Associated Press
,
Reuters
,
Axios
,
Politico
,
Semafor
,
The Information
,
The Washington Post
,
The Wall Street Journal
,
ABC
,
CBS
,
CNN
,
Fox News
, and
MSNBC
.
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.
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Report Insider Trading
Timeline and payout
Market open
Mar 19, 2025 · 10:00am EDT
Market closed
After the outcome occurs
Paid out
30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by May 29, 2025 at 11:25pm EDT.
Series
KXPORTUGALPARTY
Event
KXPORTUGALPARTY-25
Market
KXPORTUGALPARTY-25-SOCIALDEMOCRAT
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
$42,401 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL