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  1. Trump

Who will leave Trump’s Cabinet first: Rubio or Hegseth?

Resolves on the announcement, not the departure date
Chance
Pete Hegseth
66%
▼ 13

Pete Hegseth

66%
▼ 13
Marco Rubio
26%
▲ 12

Marco Rubio

26%
▲ 12
None
10%

None

10%
Who will leave Trump’s Cabinet first: Rubio or Hegseth?

Pete Hegseth

Odds
68% chance
Max payout
Jan 19, 2029
$0
$2,932 vol
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