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  1. Trump

Who will leave Trump’s Cabinet first: Rubio or Hegseth?

Resolves on the announcement, not the departure date
Chance
Pete Hegseth
65%
▼ 14

Pete Hegseth

65%
▼ 14
Marco Rubio
29%
▲ 15

Marco Rubio

29%
▲ 15
None
9%

None

9%
Who will leave Trump’s Cabinet first: Rubio or Hegseth?

Pete Hegseth

Odds
63% chance
Max payout
Jan 19, 2029
$0
$3,792 vol
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