Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term?
Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term?
Chance
Samuel Alito
62%
▼ 6
Samuel Alito
62%
▼ 6
Clarence Thomas
34%
▼ 10
Clarence Thomas
34%
▼ 10
John Roberts
12%
John Roberts
12%
Sonia Sotomayor
8.9%
▼ 4.1
Sonia Sotomayor
8.9%
▼ 4.1
Market Rules
Samuel Alito
If Samuel Alito resigns or announces their intent to resign from the Supreme Court before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Supreme Court.
Death is not resignation and will not resolve a market to Yes.
Timeline and payout
Market openDec 21, 2024 · 10:00am EST
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXSCOTUSRESIGN
EventKXSCOTUSRESIGN-29
MarketKXSCOTUSRESIGN-29-SA
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