Who will be the next Supreme Court justice?

Amul Thapar 18%

Andrew Oldham 14%

Aileen Cannon 13%

ALL

By January 20, 2029

Chance

$405,163vol

Amul Thapar

18%

Amul Thapar

18%

Andrew Oldham

14%

Andrew Oldham

14%

Aileen Cannon

13%

Aileen Cannon

13%

More markets

Rules summary for

Amul Thapar

If Amul Thapar is the first person confirmed by the Senate to the position of Justice of the Supreme Court by January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Library of Congress.

Note: this event is mutually exclusive.

Timeline and payout

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