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Who will be the next Supreme Court justice?
Amul Thapar 18%
Andrew Oldham 14%
Aileen Cannon 13%
Nov
Dec
Jan
Mar
Apr
0%
12.5%
25%
37.5%
50%
1D
1W
1M
ALL
By January 20, 2029
Chance
$404,613
vol
Amul Thapar
18%
Yes
20¢
No
82¢
Amul Thapar
18%
Yes
20¢
No
82¢
Andrew Oldham
14%
Yes
14¢
No
89¢
Andrew Oldham
14%
Yes
14¢
No
89¢
Aileen Cannon
13%
Yes
17¢
No
87¢
Aileen Cannon
13%
Yes
17¢
No
87¢
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Rules summary for
Learn more
Amul Thapar
If Amul Thapar is the first person confirmed by the Senate to the position of Justice of the Supreme Court by January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to
Yes
.
Outcome verified from
Library of Congress
.
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.
View full rules
Market Rules
Timeline and payout
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Who will be the next Supreme Court justice?
Buy Yes
· Amul Thapar
Buy
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Pick a side
Yes
20¢
No
82¢
Amount
Contracts
0
Average price
20¢
Payout if
Yes
wins
$0
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