Who will be Trump’s Treasury Secretary? Odds & Predictions 2026
Important information: Nominees must be confirmed by the United States Senate (recess appointments do not count).
Who will be Trump’s Treasury Secretary?
Who will be Trump’s Treasury Secretary?
Scott Bessent
Yes
Scott Bessent
Yes
Howard Lutnick
No
Howard Lutnick
No
Kevin Warsh
No
Kevin Warsh
No
8 more
Market Rules
Scott Bessent
The outcome is Scott Bessent
Resolves Yes ifScott Bessent is the first person confirmed by the Senate to be Secretary of the Treasury between November 6, 2024 and December 31, 2026.Outcome verified from Library of Congress.
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.
Timeline and payout
Market openNov 6, 2024 · 4:00pm EST
Market closedAfter the outcome occurs
Paid out1 hour after closing
If this event occurs, the market will close the following 10am ET. Otherwise, it closes by Jan 27, 2025 at 10:32pm EST.
SeriesKXSECTREASURY
EventKXSECTREASURY-26DEC31
MarketKXSECTREASURY-26DEC31-SB
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