Who will be confirmed by the Senate before May?
Who will be confirmed by the Senate before May?
Robert Cekada
ATF Director
Yes
Robert Cekada
ATF Director
Yes
Billy Long
Ambassador to Iceland
No
Billy Long
Ambassador to Iceland
No
Stevan Pearce
BLM Director
No
Stevan Pearce
BLM Director
No
7 more
Market Rules
Robert Cekada
If Robert Cekada is the first person confirmed as ATF Director before May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from U.S. Senate.
If a nomination is withdrawn before the deadline, that market immediately resolves to No.
Timeline and payout
Market openJan 15, 2026 · 3:00pm EST
Market closedAfter the outcome occurs
Paid out30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXSENATECONFIRM
EventKXSENATECONFIRM-26MAY01
MarketKXSENATECONFIRM-26MAY01-RCEK
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