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Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
Dec
Jan
Jan
Feb
Mar
30.4%
30.8%
31.2%
31.6%
32%
Julián Castro
32%
1D
1W
1M
ALL
2026
Chance
Julián Castro
32%
Yes
32¢
No
78¢
Julián Castro
32%
Yes
32¢
No
78¢
Ronald Gutierrez
13%
Yes
16¢
No
89¢
Ronald Gutierrez
13%
Yes
16¢
No
89¢
Veronica Escobar
14%
Yes
18¢
No
89¢
Veronica Escobar
14%
Yes
18¢
No
89¢
4 more markets
Rules summary for
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Julián Castro
If Julián Castro wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 Class II Texas Senate seat, then the market resolves to
Yes
.
Outcome verified from
State governments
.
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.
View full rules
Market Rules
Timeline and payout
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Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
Buy Yes
· Julián Castro
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Pick a side
Yes
32¢
No
78¢
Amount
Contracts
0
Average price
32¢
Payout if
Yes
wins
$0
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32%