Mike Johnson out as Speaker of the House?
Mike Johnson out as Speaker of the House?
Chance
Before July 2026
2.3%
▼ 2.2
Before July 2026
2.3%
▼ 2.2
Before Nov 3, 2026
Midterms
19%
▲ 1
Before Nov 3, 2026
Midterms
19%
▲ 1
Before 2026
No
Before 2026
No
Market Rules
Before July 2026
If the person occupying the position of Speaker of the House has resigned or otherwise left their leadership office after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from The New York Times.
An announcement that the person occupying the position of Speaker of the House will leave the position also resolves to Yes. If the person occupying the position of Speaker of the House leaves office solely because they have passed away, that outcome does not resolve to Yes.
Timeline and payout
Market openNov 24, 2025 · 5:00pm EST
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXSOTHLEAVE
EventKXSOTHLEAVE-26
MarketKXSOTHLEAVE-26-JULY
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