Will a 1-megawatt data center go live in orbit?
Will a 1-megawatt data center go live in orbit?
Chance
Market Rules
Before Jan 1, 2028
If the operational deployment in Earth orbit of a data center delivering at least 1 megawatt of electrical power to compute hardware on a single spacecraft or a unified co-orbital cluster operating as one compute system, actively processing workloads after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from The Washington Post, Fox News, The Wall Street Journal, The Guardian, ABC, Bloomberg News, CBS, South China Morning Post, NBC, the Associated Press, The Verge, BBC, Axios, CNN, ABC News Australia, The Information, Semafor, MSNBC, CBC, Reuters, Politico, and The New York Times.
Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
Timeline and payout
Market openMay 27, 2026 · 10:00am EDT
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXSPACEDATACENTER
EventKXSPACEDATACENTER-26
MarketKXSPACEDATACENTER-26-28JAN01
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.