Will Trump impose semiconductor tariffs this year?
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
%
▲ 00
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
9
8
7
6
5
4
3
2
1
0
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
2025
$12,111vol
Order book
Rules summary
If the President imposes any new (or raised) tariffs on foreign semiconductors before Dec 31, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from White House and The New York Times.
Global tariffs (tariffs on all imports into the United States) will not affect the value of this market, which is only about country/bloc-specific tariffs. Timeline and payout
Will Trump impose semiconductor tariffs this year?
Buy YesBuy
Sell
Dollars
Pick a side