Will Trump end income tax for people earning under $150k?
Will Trump end income tax for people earning under $150k?
Chance
Before 2027
6.1%
Before 2027
6.1%
Before 2026
No
Before 2026
No
Before June 2026
No
Before June 2026
No
Market Rules
Before 2027
If the President or Congress waives or ends income taxes for any year on persons earning less than $150,000 a year before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Sources from The New York Times, the Associated Press, Reuters, Axios, Politico, Semafor, The Information, The Washington Post, The Wall Street Journal, ABC, CBS, CNN, Fox News, and MSNBC.
This includes an executive order or action directing income taxes for households earning less than $150,000 be waived (or equivalently, that the income tax is foregone, eliminated, or nullified) for any year, or a bill becoming law which reduces the federal income tax to 0% for those earning less than $150,000 for any year.
Timeline and payout
Market openDec 2, 2025 · 3:00pm EST
Market closesAfter the outcome occurs
Projected payout30 minutes after closing
SeriesKXTAXWAIVE
EventKXTAXWAIVE-26
MarketKXTAXWAIVE-26-27
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