Series Image

What will be the top AI model this month?

Gemini-2.5-Pro-Exp-03-25 44%
ChatGPT-4o-latest (2025-03-26) 1%
Grok-3-Preview-02-24 1%
Apr 30May 1May 1May 2May 30%15%30%45%60%
1D
1W
1M
ALL

May 31, 2025
Chance
$1,185,190vol

Gemini-2.5-Pro-Exp-03-25
44%
▼ 9

ChatGPT-4o-latest (2025-03-26)
<1%

Grok-3-Preview-02-24
<1%

o3-2025-04-16
<1%

Rules summary for
Gemini-2.5-Pro-Exp-03-25
If Gemini-2.5-Pro-Exp-03-25 is the top-ranked AI model on May 31, 2025 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard.
If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win. Note: this event is mutually exclusive.

Timeline and payout

Series Image
What will be the top AI model this month?
Buy Yes · Gemini-2.5-Pro-Exp-03-25
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Contracts0
Average price
49¢
Payout if Yes wins
$0