What will be the top AI model this month?
chocolate (Early Grok-3) 1%
GPT-4.5-Preview 18%
Grok-3-Preview-02-24 37%
Live bets: Kalshi.com
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Mar 31, 2025
% Chance
$670,878vol
chocolate (Early Grok-3)
<1%
GPT-4.5-Preview
18%
-16
Grok-3-Preview-02-24
37%
+1
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Rules summary for
Grok-3-Preview-02-24
If Grok-3-Preview-02-24 is the top-ranked AI model on Mar 31, 2025 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard.
If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win. Note: this event is mutually exclusive.Timeline and payout
What will be the top AI model this month?
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