Series Image

What will be the top AI model this month?

Gemini-2.5-Pro-Exp-03-25 44%
ChatGPT-4o-latest (2025-03-26) 5%
GPT-4.5-Preview 1%
Mar 31Apr 3Apr 6Apr 9Apr 120%15%30%45%60%
1D
1W
1M
ALL

Apr 30, 2025
Chance
$982,915vol

Gemini-2.5-Pro-Exp-03-25
44%
▼ 15

ChatGPT-4o-latest (2025-03-26)
5%
▲ 4

GPT-4.5-Preview
<1%

2 more markets

Rules summary for
Gemini-2.5-Pro-Exp-03-25
If Gemini-2.5-Pro-Exp-03-25 is the top-ranked AI model on Apr 30, 2025 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Outcome verified from Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard.
If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win. If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win. If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win. Note: this event is mutually exclusive.

Timeline and payout

Series Image
What will be the top AI model this month?
Buy Yes · Gemini-2.5-Pro-Exp-03-25
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Contracts0
Average price
45¢
Payout if Yes wins
$0