2026: Trump's dream year?

2026: Trump's dream year?

$492,392 vol

Order book

Market Rules

Resolves Yes if ALL of the following occur:

Trump's VoteHub approval rating rises above 48% in 2026 AND
Republicans retain control of both the House of Representatives and Senate after the midterms AND
U.S. GDP growth is above 5% in any quarter between Q4 2025 and Q4 2026 (inclusive) AND
The U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) stays below 5% in 2026

.Outcome verified from VoteHub, U.S. House of Representatives, U.S. Senate, Bureau of Economic Analysis, Bureau of Labor Statistics, and Bureau of Labor Statistics.

This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No.

Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset:

"Will Trump's VoteHub approval rating rise above 48% in 2026?" uses POLLINGAPPROVALINPERIOD
"Will Republicans retain control of the House of Representatives and Senate after the midterms?" uses CONTROL
"Will U.S. GDP grow by more than 5% in any quarter from Q4 2025 to Q4 2026 (inclusive)?" uses LGDP
"Will the U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) stay below 5% in 2026?" uses ECONSTAT

For economic data releases, resolution uses the first officially released value (not preliminary or revised estimates unless specified). All conditions must be satisfied within the specified time period.

Additional specifications: POLLINGAPPROVALINPERIOD - the threshold need only be met once during the period; CONTROL - based on the Speaker of the House and President Pro Tempore of the Senate on Feb 1, 2027; LGDP - based on real GDP, quarter-over-quarter percent change, seasonally adjusted at annual rates (SAAR)

Timeline and payout

Market openDec 17, 2025 · 10:00am EST

Market closesAfter the outcome occurs

Projected payout30 minutes after closing

This market will close and expire early if any component becomes impossible to occur (resolving to No) or all components have been satisfied (resolving to Yes). Otherwise, it closes by Dec 31, 2027 at 10:00am EST.

SeriesKXTRUMPBULLCASECOMBO

EventKXTRUMPBULLCASECOMBO-27DEC

MarketKXTRUMPBULLCASECOMBO-27DEC-26

Insider trading is prohibited

The following are prohibited from trading this contract:

Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Cabinet members and their immediate staff.
Federal Reserve Board members and regional Fed presidents.
Members of Congress and their senior staff.
White House senior staff and advisors.
Heads of relevant federal agencies referenced in components.
Employees of Bureau of Labor Statistics, Bureau of Economic Analysis, Census Bureau.
Employees with pre-release access to economic data.
Federal statistical agency employees involved in data compilation.
Contractors with access to embargoed data.
Campaign managers and senior campaign staff for referenced candidates.
Political party leadership if election/appointment components included.
Judicial clerks if Supreme Court components included.
Congressional committee staff for relevant committees.
Journalists with embargo access to referenced data.
Employees of Source Agencies who cover relevant beats.
Political polling organization employees if polling components included.
Foreign government officials involved in treaty/agreement negotiations (if applicable).
Diplomatic staff with knowledge of agreement timing.
International organization employees (IMF, World Bank, UN) if relevant.
Immediate family members of all above categories.
Household members of prohibited persons.
Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event