Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive128AccountSocial
MARKETSINVESTLIVE128
Product
Kalshi ProInvestMarketsIncentive programInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center

© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
Series Image
  1. International

How many MPs will vote for the no-confidence motion against Tusk this year?



Chance

At least 50
--%

At least 50

--%

At least 150
--%

At least 150

--%

At least 180
--%

At least 180

--%

5 more

How many MPs will vote for the no-confidence motion against Tusk this year?

At least 50

Odds
99% chance
Max payout
Jan 1, 2027
$0
More Politics Markets

Trending Politics markets

Trump's RCP approval average today?Who will be Trump's next Press Secretary?Trump Truth Social posts this week? (11/1-11/7)Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/26 - 11/1)How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (10/31-11/6)When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?Will Ilhan Omar's citizenship be revoked this year?US-Iran nuclear deal?

Politics hub

All Politics markets