Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive197AccountSocial
MARKETSINVESTLIVE197
Product
Kalshi ProInvestMarketsIncentive programInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center
© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
Series Image
  1. US Elections

Texas Senate election: Ken Paxton vote percent

100
Begins on Tuesday · Nov 3
Chance
At least 48%
53%
▲ 4

At least 48%

53%
▲ 4
At least 49%
43%

At least 49%

43%
At least 50%
36%
▲ 10

At least 50%

36%
▲ 10
7 more
People are also trading
Series Image
Texas Senate winner?
Series Image
Texas Senate margin of victory
Series Image
Texas Senate: margin of victory
Series Image
Texas Senate General Election: voter turnout
Series Image
Texas Senate margin of victory
Series Image
Texas Senate: which counties will James Talarico win?
Series Image
Texas Senate election: James Talarico vote percent
Series Image
Dallas County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent
Series Image
Tarrant County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent
Series Image
Travis County, Texas: James Talarico vote percent
More Elections Markets

More Vote percentages in US general elections markets

Alaska Governor election: Bernadette Wilson vote percent (1st Round)Alaska Governor election: Dave Bronson vote percent (1st Round)Alaska Governor election: Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins vote percent (1st Round)Alaska Governor election: Treg Taylor vote percent (1st Round)Alabama Governor election: Doug Jones vote percentAlabama Governor election: Tommy Tuberville vote percentArkansas Governor election: Fredrick Love vote percentArkansas Governor election: Sarah Huckabee Sanders vote percent

Trending Elections markets

Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?Which party will win the U.S. House?Texas Senate winner?Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?Los Angeles Mayor winner?Texas Governor winner?Florida Governor winner?2028 Democratic presidential nominee

Elections hub

All Elections markets
Texas Senate election: Ken Paxton vote percent

At least 42%

Odds
0% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
$8,796 vol
Race Intel
CandidatePollsRaisedSmall Donors
  • James TalaricoD48.5%
    48.5%
    $68.6M
    54%
    $68.6M raised·54% small donors
  • Ken PaxtonR45.7%
    45.7%
    $19.5M
    19%
    $19.5M raised·19% small donors
Polling averages · Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.
Past presidential elections
2024R +13.7%2020R +5.6%