Will existential AI risk be mentioned in the White House Briefing Room in 2025? Odds & Predictions
Will existential AI risk be mentioned in the White House Briefing Room in 2025?
Will existential AI risk be mentioned in the White House Briefing Room in 2025?
Order book
No
Market Rules
The outcome is No
Resolves Yes ifexistential risk to humanity from artificial intelligence is referenced on any post on the website of the White House Briefing Room after December 19, 2024 and before Jan 1, 2026.Outcome verified from White House Briefing Room.
Clarification 1/28/25 3:00 AM ET: The web page for the White House Briefing Room has been redirected to a page titled "News" on the website of the White House. To be clear, releases on this page are what will be considered for the Payout Criterion.
Timeline and payout
Market openDec 20, 2024 · 10:00am EST
Market closedAfter the outcome occurs
Paid out30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Jan 1, 2026 at 2:37am EST.
SeriesKXWHBRIEFINGAIRISK
EventKXWHBRIEFINGAIRISK-26
MarketKXWHBRIEFINGAIRISK-26
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.