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What will the U.S. withdraw from during the Trump Administration? Odds & Predictions 2029
Politics
·
International
What will the U.S. withdraw from during the Trump Administration?
Politics
·
International
What will the U.S. withdraw from during the Trump Administration?
Chance
World Trade Organization
33%
Yes
Â
35¢
No
Â
67¢
World Trade Organization
33%
Yes
Â
35¢
No
Â
67¢
United Nations
23%
Yes
Â
29¢
No
Â
76¢
United Nations
23%
Yes
Â
29¢
No
Â
76¢
World Bank Group
20%
Yes
Â
26¢
No
Â
79¢
World Bank Group
20%
Yes
Â
26¢
No
Â
79¢
7 more
Market Rules
World Trade Organization
If the United States completely withdraws from World Trade Organization before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to
Yes
.
Sources from
White House
,
United States Congress
,
The New York Times
,
AP
,
Bloomberg
,
ABC
,
The Information
,
Semafor
,
Reuters
,
Axios
,
Politico
,
The Washington Post
,
The Wall Street Journal
,
MSNBC
,
NBC
, and
CBS
.
View full rules
Help center
Report Insider Trading
Timeline and payout
Market open
Feb 18, 2025 · 10:00am EST
Market closes
After the outcome occurs
Projected payout
30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Jan 20, 2029 at 10:00am EST.
Series
KXWITHDRAW
Event
KXWITHDRAW-29
Market
KXWITHDRAW-29-WTO
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
$17,468 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL