Popular vote margin of victory in Nevada?
Popular vote margin of victory in Nevada?
Trump by 4.00-4.99%
No
Trump by 4.00-4.99%
No
Trump by 5.00-5.99%
No
Trump by 5.00-5.99%
No
Trump by 6.00% or more
No
Trump by 6.00% or more
No
11 more
Market Rules
Harris by 6.00% or more
Resolves Yes if the popular vote margin of victory in Nevada is above 5.99% for Kamala Harris or another representative of the Democratic party in the 2024 election.Outcome verified from United States Congress.
If a candidate has won but has a margin that rounds to 0.00 (for example, winning by one vote), then that would resolve the bracket that has the winning candidate 0.00-0.49% as Yes. Nevada specifically has an option for voters to choose "None of the above". These are not necessarily included in Nevada's certificate of ascertainment, which is used to resolve the market.
Timeline and payout
Market openOct 8, 2024 · 8:00am EDT
Market closedAfter the outcome occurs
Paid out1 minute after closing
SeriesPOPVOTEMOVNV
EventPOPVOTEMOVNV-24
MarketPOPVOTEMOVNV-24-D-T5.99
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
- Holders of federal and statewide public office.
- Paid campaign staffers on Presidential campaigns.
- Anyone working in a vote-tallying capacity, or who has the potential ability to observe official vote counts before they are public.
- Third-party vendors and contractors (and employees thereof) of Presidential campaigns.
- Paid employees of Democratic and Republican Party organizations, such as the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee or the Republican National Committee.
- Paid employees of Political Action Committees (PACs) and “Super PACs” (independent expenditure only political committees).
- Paid employees of major polling organizations.
- Employees of Decision Desks at major media organizations.
- All staff of the U.S. House of Representatives and its members.
- All staff of the U.S. Senate and its members.
- All staff of the Office of the President of the United States.
- All staff of the Office of the Vice President of the United States.
- All staff of the U.S. Supreme Court and its Justices.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
- Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.