NBA Playoff Odds 2026-27
Kalshi's market-implied chance of each NBA team reaching the 2026-27 playoffs. Boston Celtics lead the Eastern Conference board at 96%, across all 30 teams.
Live marketUpdated today at 3:48 AM ET
Where these numbers come from: Each figure is the market price of that club’s contract — the mid-market quote where the book is tight, otherwise the last trade. Prices are not a forecast from Kalshi; they are what traders are paying. Records come from the league and are shown for context, not used to price anything.
EASTERN CONFERENCE
2026-27 Eastern Conference playoff odds
| Team | W-L | Odds | 7d | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BOS Celtics | 10-2 | 96% | +3pp | Yes 97¢ |
| DET Pistons | 7-3 | 94% | +2pp | Yes 94¢ |
| NY Knicks | 6-5 | 94% | +3pp | Yes 94¢ |
| PHI 76ers | 9-3 | 92% | −1pp | Yes 92¢ |
| TOR Raptors | 5-6 | 81% | −2pp | Yes 82¢ |
| CLE Cavaliers | 6-6 | 79% | −4pp | Yes 79¢ |
| ATL Hawks | 7-5 | 69% | +12pp | Yes 69¢ |
| MIA Heat | 5-6 | 55% | −4pp | Yes 55¢ |
| IND Pacers | 4-8 | 51% | +13pp | Yes 53¢ |
| ORL Magic | 4-7 | 41% | −8pp | Yes 42¢ |
| CHA Hornets | 4-7 | 23% | −13pp | Yes 24¢ |
| WSH Wizards | 4-8 | 13% | −16pp | Yes 17¢ |
| MIL Bucks | 1-11 | 4% | −1pp | Yes 5¢ |
| BKN Nets | 3-8 | 3% | −4pp | Yes 4¢ |
| CHI Bulls | 1-9 | 2% | −1pp | Yes 3¢ |
| Team | W-L | Odds | 7d | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL HawksClinched | 46-36 | 100% | +13pp | — |
| BOS CelticsClinched | 56-26 | 100% | +1pp | — |
| CLE CavaliersClinched | 52-30 | 100% | +1pp | — |
| DET PistonsClinched | 60-22 | 100% | +1pp | — |
| NY KnicksClinched | 53-29 | 100% | +3pp | — |
| ORL MagicClinched | 45-37 | 100% | +22pp | — |
| PHI 76ersClinched | 45-37 | 100% | +47pp | — |
| TOR RaptorsClinched | 46-36 | 100% | +10pp | — |
| BKN NetsOut | 20-62 | 0% | −1pp | — |
| CHA HornetsOut | 44-38 | 0% | −39pp | — |
| CHI BullsOut | 31-51 | 0% | −1pp | — |
| IND PacersOut | 19-63 | 0% | −1pp | — |
| MIA HeatOut | 43-39 | 0% | −23pp | — |
| MIL BucksOut | 32-50 | 0% | −1pp | — |
| WSH WizardsOut | 17-65 | 0% | −1pp | — |
WESTERN CONFERENCE
2026-27 Western Conference playoff odds
| Team | W-L | Odds | 7d | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SA Spurs | 10-2 | 95% | −3pp | Yes 96¢ |
| HOU Rockets | 9-3 | 93% | +1pp | Yes 93¢ |
| OKC Thunder | 8-4 | 92% | +3pp | Yes 95¢ |
| LAL Lakers | 11-2 | 83% | −2pp | Yes 84¢ |
| MIN Timberwolves | 8-3 | 81% | +3pp | Yes 82¢ |
| DEN Nuggets | 6-4 | 77% | −1pp | Yes 78¢ |
| POR Trail Blazers | 8-3 | 76% | −6pp | Yes 76¢ |
| GS Warriors | 8-4 | 63% | +13pp | Yes 64¢ |
| DAL Mavericks | 7-4 | 43% | +4pp | Yes 45¢ |
| MEM Grizzlies | 7-4 | 37% | −10pp | Yes 39¢ |
| PHX Suns | 4-6 | 24% | −4pp | Yes 25¢ |
| NO Pelicans | 4-8 | 8% | −14pp | Yes 8¢ |
| UTA Jazz | 1-11 | 7% | −12pp | Yes 8¢ |
| LAC Clippers | 2-8 | 6% | −6pp | Yes 8¢ |
| SAC Kings | 1-10 | 2% | −2pp | Yes 3¢ |
| Team | W-L | Odds | 7d | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DEN NuggetsClinched | 54-28 | 100% | +2pp | — |
| HOU RocketsClinched | 52-30 | 100% | +2pp | — |
| LAL LakersClinched | 53-29 | 100% | +1pp | — |
| MIN TimberwolvesClinched | 49-33 | 100% | +1pp | — |
| OKC ThunderClinched | 64-18 | 100% | +1pp | — |
| PHX SunsClinched | 45-37 | 100% | +21pp | — |
| POR Trail BlazersClinched | 42-40 | 100% | +68pp | — |
| SA SpursClinched | 62-20 | 100% | +1pp | — |
| DAL MavericksOut | 26-56 | 0% | −1pp | — |
| GS WarriorsOut | 37-45 | 0% | −23pp | — |
| LAC ClippersOut | 42-40 | 0% | −59pp | — |
| MEM GrizzliesOut | 25-57 | 0% | −1pp | — |
| NO PelicansOut | 26-56 | 0% | −1pp | — |
| SAC KingsOut | 22-60 | 0% | −1pp | — |
| UTA JazzOut | 22-60 | 0% | −1pp | — |
METHOD
How these odds work
Every figure here is a live Kalshi market price. A contract on a club to reach the playoffs pays out at 100¢ if it does and nothing if it does not, so its price in cents reads directly as the market's implied chance in percent.
8 clubs reach the playoffs from each conference. The top 6 qualify outright on record; the last two come out of the play-in tournament, so a club can finish as low as 10th and still get there.
Each board is ordered by that price, using the exact quote rather than the rounded figure printed in the column — two clubs a hundredth of a point apart would otherwise swap places between refreshes.
FAQ
Questions
Which teams are most likely to make the 2026-27 NBA playoffs?
Boston Celtics lead the East at 96% and San Antonio Spurs lead the West at 95%. Those are market prices on Kalshi, not Kalshi forecasts.
How many NBA teams make the playoffs?
Sixteen — 8 from each conference. The top 6 in each qualify directly on record, and the remaining two places are decided by the play-in tournament among the clubs finishing 7th to 10th.
How are these NBA playoff odds calculated?
They are not calculated — they are prices. Each club has a contract that pays 100¢ if it happens, so what traders pay for it reads directly as an implied percentage. Where the bid and ask are close the page shows the midpoint; otherwise it shows the last trade.
TEAMS
Every NBA team
- Atlanta Hawks
- Boston Celtics
- Brooklyn Nets
- Charlotte Hornets
- Chicago Bulls
- Cleveland Cavaliers
- Dallas Mavericks
- Denver Nuggets
- Detroit Pistons
- Golden State Warriors
- Houston Rockets
- Indiana Pacers
- Los Angeles Clippers
- Los Angeles Lakers
- Memphis Grizzlies
- Miami Heat
- Milwaukee Bucks
- Minnesota Timberwolves
- New Orleans Pelicans
- New York Knicks
- Oklahoma City Thunder
- Orlando Magic
- Philadelphia 76ers
- Phoenix Suns
- Portland Trail Blazers
- Sacramento Kings
- San Antonio Spurs
- Toronto Raptors
- Utah Jazz
- Washington Wizards