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Criminal Justice Odds & Predictions

Will any CA state executives be federally charged with fraud?

Yes

9.41x

No

1.04x

$10,407 vol3 markets

SCOTUS & courts

Will James Comey’s criminal case be dismissed?

Before Jan 1, 2027

1.62x

Before Oct 1, 2026

6.74x

$13,148 vol2 markets

Who will President Trump pardon in 2025?

Changpeng Zhao

Changpeng Zhao

Changpeng Zhao

Yes

George Santos

George Santos

George Santos

Yes

$4,688,594 vol28 markets

Will Ghislaine Maxwell testify in front of Congress in 2025?

Yes

No

$436,470 vol1 market

Will Zohran Mamdani be arrested before January 2026?

Yes

No

$189,138 vol1 market

How many people will Trump pardon in January?

4 to 25

Yes

0

No

$52,761 vol7 markets

Who will be named in any context in Epstein files released this year?

Barack Obama

Barack Obama

Barack Obama

Yes

Donald Trump

Donald Trump

Donald Trump

Yes

$52,298 vol20 markets

Will Kathy Hochul pardon Daniel Penny in 2025?

Yes

No

$9,378 vol1 market

Criminal Justice Odds & Predictions 2026