MARKETS LIVE52 SOCIAL

Cash

Portfolio

Search

Trending Elections Politics Sports Culture Crypto Commodities Climate Economics Mentions Finance Tech & Science

Portfolio

Search

Trade what's next.

Product

Markets Incentive program Institutions API & developers

Company

About Kalshi Research Blog Careers Policy Center Brand Kit

Help

Help Center FAQ Fee schedule Trading hours Regulatory

© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved

Privacy Data Terms of Service Trading Prohibitions FAQ for Finance Professionals

Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.

Trending Elections Politics Sports Culture Crypto Commodities Climate Economics Mentions Finance Tech & Science

Tech traders can explore emerging probabilities for xAI and other AI companies across the globe. Compare sentiment shifts and outcomes in the constantly-changing AI landscape.

Sports

Sports

Alpha Arena Season 1.5 new baseline winning model?

MYSTERY-MODEL

MYSTERY-MODEL

MYSTERY-MODEL

Yes

GPT-5.1

GPT-5.1

GPT-5.1

No

$13,903 vol8 markets

Sports

Alpha Arena Season 1.5 aggregate index winning model?

MYSTERY-MODEL

MYSTERY-MODEL

MYSTERY-MODEL

Yes

GPT-5.1

GPT-5.1

GPT-5.1

No

$12,453 vol8 markets

Sports

Alpha Arena season 1.5 max leverage winning model?

GPT-5.1

GPT-5.1

GPT-5.1

Yes

MYSTERY-MODEL

MYSTERY-MODEL

MYSTERY-MODEL

No

$8,709 vol8 markets

Sports

Alpha Arena Season 1.5 monk mode winning model?

DEEPSEEK-CHAT-V3.1

DEEPSEEK-CHAT-V3.1

DEEPSEEK-CHAT-V3.1

Yes

GEMINI-3-PRO

GEMINI-3-PRO

GEMINI-3-PRO

No

$8,648 vol8 markets

Sports

Alpha Arena season 1.5 situational awareness winning model?

MYSTERY-MODEL

MYSTERY-MODEL

MYSTERY-MODEL

Yes

KIMI-K2-THINKING

KIMI-K2-THINKING

KIMI-K2-THINKING

No

$8,286 vol8 markets

Tech & Science

Which AI will be the first to hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena?

Gemini

No

ChatGPT

No

$5,410,647 vol5 markets

Which companies will have a #1 AI model in 2025?

xAI

xAI

xAI

Yes

Google

Google

Google

Yes

$3,794,519 vol11 markets

Which AI company will have the best coding model on Jan 1, 2026?

OpenAI

OpenAI

OpenAI

Yes

Anthropic

Anthropic

Anthropic

No

$2,346,354 vol7 markets

When will xAI release Grok 4.2?

Before Apr 21, 2026

Yes

Before Feb 1, 2026

No

$100,804 vol6 markets

Finance

Product launches

Will xAI release a video game before 2027?

Yes

3.29x

No

1.36x

$18,625 vol1 market

Which Companies will Officially Announce an IPO in 2025?

Medline

Medline

Medline

Yes

Klarna

Klarna

Klarna

Yes

$6,013,589 vol25 markets

Mentions

What will Elon Musk say during his WEF appearance?

FSD / Full Self Driving

Yes

Robotaxi

Yes

$145,168 vol12 markets

What will David Sacks say during his WEF Conversation?

OpenAI / ChatGPT

Yes

Economy / Economic

Yes

$88,754 vol12 markets

xAI Odds & Predictions 2026

Keyword Image

xAI Odds & Predictions