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Indices
Industries
Markets
Product launches
When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
Before April 2027
1.25
x
79
%
Before March 2027
4.73
x
20
%
$2,612,372 vol
5 markets
SpaceX
How many launches will SpaceX have in September?
Above 10
2.05
x
46
%
Above 11
4.13
x
23
%
$74,859 vol
11 markets
Medicine
Will the FDA approve camizestrant for advanced breast cancer?
Before Jan 1, 2027
1.57
x
54
%
Before Oct 1, 2026
2.66
x
35
%
$16,710 vol
3 markets
Tesla
Tesla Optimus released this year?
Yes
13.4
x
7
%
No
1.06
x
93
%
$361,297 vol
1 market
Product launches
Average Get-In Price of the 2026 US Open Finals
Above $475
1.29
x
54
%
Above $500
1.40
x
47
%
$548 vol
9 markets
Video games
PS6 announced this year?
Yes
7.25
x
8
%
No
1.09
x
92
%
$164,920 vol
1 market
Apple Inc.
When will Apple announce foldable iPhone?
Yes
1.02
x
97
%
No
31.2
x
3
%
$194,543 vol
1 market
Tech
How low will the OpenAI GPT 5.5 input token price get this year?
$4/MTok or below
3.29
x
28
%
$3/MTok or below
4.98
x
18
%
$5,456 vol
4 markets
Product launches
Which companies will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series before 2027?
Amazon
3.96
x
24
%
Netflix
8.56
x
11
%
$127,587 vol
8 markets
Space
Starship launches humans to Mars before 2030?
Yes
6.74
x
14
%
No
1.10
x
86
%
$52,846 vol
1 market
Tech
How low will the Claude Opus 4.8 input token price get this year?
$4/MTok or below
4.13
x
23
%
$3/MTok or below
5.90
x
14
%
$9,352 vol
4 markets
Microsoft
New Xbox this year?
Yes
7.85
x
11
%
No
1.09
x
89
%
$47,549 vol
1 market
Eli Lilly
Will the FDA approve retatrutide?
Before Jul 1, 2027
1.83
x
53
%
Before Jan 1, 2028
1.07
x
92
%
$37,465 vol
5 markets
Medicine
When will the FDA approve Compass Pathways’ COMP360 Psilocybin?
Before Mar 1, 2027
1.62
x
61
%
Before Jan 1, 2027
2.81
x
30
%
$17,698 vol
5 markets
Product launches
What flavors will JUUL relaunch?
Mint
6.29
x
11
%
Cool Mint
7.85
x
12
%
$65,892 vol
6 markets
Product launches
MacBook base model price on Black Friday
below $650
4.13
x
22
%
below $700
1.10
x
89
%
$2,844 vol
7 markets
Product launches
Claude Pro price increase this year?
Yes
5.90
x
16
%
No
1.10
x
84
%
$7,599 vol
1 market
Product launches
Will Rolex release a steel GMT-Master II with a black and red Bezel this year?
Yes
31.2
x
3
%
No
--
97
%
$30,070 vol
1 market
Product launches
KPop Demon Hunters 2: Released this year?
Yes
18.8
x
4
%
No
1.04
x
96
%
$78,932 vol
1 market
Product launches
Will xAI release a video game before 2027?
Yes
9.41
x
10
%
No
1.04
x
90
%
$29,096 vol
1 market
Product launches
X re-launches Vine this year?
Yes
8.56
x
4
%
No
1.04
x
96
%
$12,824 vol
1 market
Compute
When will NVIDIA release Vera Rubin?
Before Nov 2026
1.57
x
62
%
Before Oct 2026
2.24
x
37
%
$301 vol
4 markets
Product launches
Will Tesla release a two door Model Y car for $30,000 or less before 2027?
Yes
15.6
x
3
%
No
1.03
x
97
%
$27,477 vol
1 market
Product launches
Spotify Premium Family Plan price increase this year?
Yes
4.73
x
21
%
No
1.15
x
79
%
$626 vol
1 market