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Product launches

When will Apple release the iPhone 18?

Before 2027
7.25x
Before October
15.6x
$1,433,743 vol2 markets
SpaceX

How many launches will SpaceX have in August?

Above 13
1.79x
Above 14
5.90x
$259,709 vol9 markets
Eli Lilly

Will the FDA approve retatrutide?

Before Jul 1, 2027
2.01x
Before Jan 1, 2028
1.14x
$33,002 vol5 markets
Apple Inc.

When will Apple announce foldable iPhone?

Yes
1.09x
No
8.56x
$158,505 vol1 market
Tesla

Tesla Optimus released this year?

Yes
7.85x
No
1.10x
$345,075 vol1 market
Medicine

Will the FDA approve camizestrant for advanced breast cancer?

Before Jan 1, 2027
1.52x
Before Oct 1, 2026
2.59x
$10,106 vol3 markets
Product launches

What flavors will JUUL relaunch?

Mint
6.74x
Cool Mint
6.74x
$61,751 vol6 markets
Product launches

Will xAI release a video game before 2027?

Yes
10.4x
No
1.01x
$27,797 vol1 market
Product launches

Which companies will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series before 2027?

Netflix
10.4x
Disney
13.4x
$104,046 vol8 markets
Video games

PS6 announced this year?

Yes
10.4x
No
1.08x
$156,774 vol1 market
Tech

How low will the OpenAI GPT 5.5 input token price get this year?

$4/MTok or below
4.51x
$3/MTok or below
5.90x
$4,444 vol4 markets
Space

Starship launches humans to Mars before 2030?

Yes
6.74x
No
1.10x
$52,260 vol1 market
Tech

How low will the Google Gemini 3.5 Flash input token price get this year?

$1.25/MTok or below
1.90x
$0.75/MTok or below
9.41x
$2,379 vol4 markets
Tech

How low will the Claude Opus 4.8 input token price get this year?

$4/MTok or below
4.73x
$3/MTok or below
6.29x
$7,160 vol4 markets
Product launches

Will BMW release a Fully Electric M3 before 2028?

Yes
1.02x
No
4.51x
$19,529 vol1 market
Microsoft

New Xbox this year?

Yes
7.85x
No
1.08x
$43,650 vol1 market
Product launches

X re-launches Vine this year?

Yes
7.85x
No
1.04x
$12,723 vol1 market
Compute

When will NVIDIA release Vera Rubin?

Before Nov 2026
1.57x
Before Oct 2026
2.24x
$19 vol5 markets
Product launches

Average Get-In Price of the US Open

Above $250
1.02x
Above $260
1.02x
$0 vol10 markets
Product launches

Will Tesla release a two door Model Y car for $30,000 or less before 2027?

Yes
18.8x
No
1.03x
$25,675 vol1 market
Product launches

Spotify Premium Family Plan price increase this year?

Yes
4.51x
No
1.15x
$559 vol1 market
Product launches

Spotify Premium Duo Plan price increase this year?

Yes
5.25x
No
1.14x
$781 vol1 market
Product launches

Spotify Premium Individual Plan price increase this year?

Yes
4.98x
No
1.14x
$778 vol1 market
Product launches

Claude Pro price increase this year?

Yes
7.25x
No
1.09x
$5,859 vol1 market