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Markets
SpaceX
How many launches will SpaceX have in September?
Above 7
1.31
x
72
%
Above 8
5.56
x
16
%
$537,841 vol
12 markets
Medicine
Will the FDA approve CagriSema?
Before Jan 1, 2027
1.31
x
74
%
Before Jul 1, 2027
1.20
x
83
%
$6,997 vol
4 markets
Product launches
Which companies will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series before 2027?
Amazon
5.25
x
18
%
Netflix
9.41
x
7
%
$187,407 vol
8 markets
Video games
PS6 announced this year?
Yes
8.56
x
7
%
No
1.09
x
93
%
$172,921 vol
1 market
Product launches
Claude Pro price increase this year?
Yes
9.41
x
6
%
No
1.06
x
94
%
$9,011 vol
1 market
Tesla
Tesla Optimus released this year?
Yes
23.4
x
3
%
No
1.03
x
97
%
$378,363 vol
1 market
Tech
How low will the Google Gemini 3.5 Flash input token price get this year?
$1.25/MTok or below
5.56
x
17
%
$1.00/MTok or below
7.25
x
6
%
$4,056 vol
4 markets
Tech
How low will the OpenAI GPT 5.5 input token price get this year?
$4/MTok or below
5.56
x
9
%
$3/MTok or below
6.29
x
15
%
$7,621 vol
4 markets
Microsoft
New Xbox this year?
Yes
8.56
x
8
%
No
1.08
x
92
%
$48,517 vol
1 market
Product launches
MacBook base model price on Black Friday
below $700
1.04
x
94
%
below $650
13.4
x
2
%
$6,748 vol
7 markets
Product launches
What flavors will JUUL relaunch?
Mint
5.56
x
18
%
Mango
9.41
x
6
%
$71,112 vol
6 markets
Tech
How low will the Claude Opus 4.8 input token price get this year?
$3/MTok or below
4.98
x
33
%
$4/MTok or below
5.56
x
17
%
$12,469 vol
4 markets
Eli Lilly
Will the FDA approve retatrutide?
Before Jul 1, 2027
2.05
x
46
%
Before Jan 1, 2028
1.16
x
82
%
$39,613 vol
5 markets
Space
Starship launches humans to Mars before 2030?
Yes
6.74
x
11
%
No
1.12
x
89
%
$53,070 vol
1 market
Product launches
Will xAI release a video game before 2027?
Yes
15.6
x
4
%
No
1.04
x
96
%
$31,005 vol
1 market
Medicine
When will the FDA approve Compass Pathways’ COMP360 Psilocybin?
Before Jan 1, 2027
2.40
x
40
%
Before Mar 1, 2027
1.31
x
71
%
$19,586 vol
5 markets
Medicine
When will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics’ lonvo-z?
Before 2028
1.09
x
72
%
Before July 2027
1.07
x
96
%
$6,313 vol
3 markets
Product launches
X re-launches Vine this year?
Yes
11.7
x
2
%
No
1.04
x
98
%
$12,827 vol
1 market
Product launches
Will Tesla release a two door Model Y car for $30,000 or less before 2027?
Yes
9.41
x
10
%
No
1.06
x
90
%
$33,219 vol
1 market
Product launches
Spotify Premium Family Plan price increase this year?
Yes
5.90
x
13
%
No
1.13
x
87
%
$636 vol
1 market
Product launches
Spotify Premium Duo Plan price increase this year?
Yes
1.05
x
14
%
No
1.05
x
86
%
$796 vol
1 market
Product launches
Spotify Premium Individual Plan price increase this year?
Yes
5.25
x
12
%
No
1.15
x
88
%
$824 vol
1 market
Product launches
Arizona Iced Tea price increase this year?
Yes
10.4
x
1
%
No
1.01
x
99
%
$22,781 vol
1 market
Product launches
Netflix price increase this year?
Yes
10.4
x
8
%
No
1.06
x
92
%
$3,011 vol
1 market