Powell out as Chair this year?
Yes
$100 → $380No
$100 → $129News · President Trump said he could swiftly remove Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell if he chose to, calling him 'too late' on rate cuts and accusing him of 'playing politics,' The Hill reports. The remarks challenge Powell's legal protections and risk deepening tensions with financial markets already shaken by Trump's tariff-driven economic policies.
$136,597
When will Trump end his tariffs against China?
Before Dec 2025
33%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before Jun 2025
22%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––News · Despite raising tariffs on Chinese imports to a record 245%, President Trump said there's 'no rush' and vowed the U.S. 'will have a deal with China,' The Street reports. Beijing has responded with its own tariff hikes and stalled negotiations, deepening the economic standoff.
$28,723
Will Google be forced to break up?
Yes
$100 → $162No
$100 → $224News · A federal judge ruled Thursday that Google illegally used its dominance in digital advertising by linking its ad server with its ad exchange, WSJ reports. The court will now begin weighing possible remedies to address the tech giant's monopoly power.
$142,734
RBC Heritage Winner?
Scottie Scheffler
30%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Justin Thomas
25%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––News · The RBC Heritage kicks off in South Carolina on Thursday with a $20 million purse and no cut, the Florida Times-Union reports. The winner will earn $3.6 million at this signature PGA Tour event, and all 72 players finishing 72 holes will receive a payout.
$7,900,793
Recession this year?
Yes
$100 → $159No
$100 → $234News · Billionaire investor Ray Dalio says he fears a breakdown of the global monetary system that could be 'worse than a recession,' citing Trump's tariffs and rising U.S. debt, CNBC reports. Dalio urged policymakers to reduce the deficit and avoid escalating international conflict to prevent a historic economic shock.
$1,860,865
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Will Trump declassify Epstein documents in his first 100 days?
Yes
$100 → $930No
$100 → $108$3,368,800
Best AI this month?
Gemini
68%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––ChatGPT
30%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$4,945,635
When will Bitcoin hit $150k?
Before 2026
23%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before October
14%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$807,576
"Sinners" Rotten Tomatoes score?
Above 97
51%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 96
77%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$440,587
Gas prices in the US this month?
Above 3.15
50%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 3.10
80%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$2,943,086
GTA 6 release date?
Before December 2025
61%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before November 2025
34%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$225,615
Pro Men's Basketball Champion?
Oklahoma City
32%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Boston
31%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$6,495,464
How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago this month?
2
87%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––3
30%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$594,910
Number of tornadoes this month?
Above 300
36%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 250
78%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,490,723
What will Powell say during his May FOMC press conference?
Median
52%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Consumer confidence
54%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$695,660
Inflation in April? (CPI YoY)
Above 2.3%
57%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 2.4%
26%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$7,073,880
Rain in NYC this month?
Above 4 inches
51%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 3 inches
94%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$862,066
US GDP growth in Q1 2025?
Above 0.5%
52%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 1.0%
38%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$2,617,851
Fed decision in May?
No change
87%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Cut 25bps
11%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$30,504,593
Jobs numbers this month?
Above 150,000
60%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 200,000
31%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$3,353,662
When will Trump end his tariffs against Canada?
Before Dec 2025
61%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before Jun 2025
16%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$44,718
What will the U.S. tariff rate on China be on Apr 30, 2025?
100% to 149.99%
61%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––200% to 299.99%
12%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$19,987
When will Tesla launch unsupervised full self-driving to the public?
Before 2026
57%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before July
38%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$73,073
Who will be the top three wealthiest people in the world?
Mark Zuckerberg
79%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Larry Ellison
18%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$223,665
When will Dogecoin hit $1?
Before Jan 1, 2026
12%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before Sep 1, 2025
5%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$328,248
Who will be the Canadian Prime Minister after the next election?
Liberal Party
79%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Conservative Party
21%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$2,126,023
What will be the top AI model this month?
Gemini-2.5-Pro-Exp-03-25
64%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––ChatGPT-4o-latest (2025-03-26)
2%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,042,228
Ozempic and Wegovy prescriptions increase in Q1 2025?
5% or above
17%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––7% or above
8%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$211,568
Least streamed song on More Chaos on Saturday?
Confetti
75%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Evolution
19%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$4,193