MARKETSLIVE4SOCIAL
RESEARCH
Cash
Browse
Live4
Portfolio
Search
Ideas

Trending

PoliticsSportsCultureCryptoClimateEconomicsMentionsCompaniesFinancialsTech & Science
Browse
Live4
Portfolio
Search
Ideas
Company
BlogCareersPrivacy PolicyWSOP Sweepstakes RulesData Terms of ServiceCompanyBrand Kit
Social
X (Twitter)LinkedInDiscordInstagramRedditTikTok
Product
Help CenterAPIFAQFAQ for Finance ProfessionalsRegulatoryTrading HoursFee ScheduleTrading ProhibitionsIncentive ProgramResearchInstitutional TradingResponsible TradingMarket Integrity

© 2026 Kalshi Inc.
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.

Trending

PoliticsSportsCultureCryptoClimateEconomicsMentionsCompaniesFinancialsTech & Science
Men’s Tournament Challenge

$1 BILLION BRACKET

 

Primary Elections

United States 2026
US flag

Primary Elections

United States 2026

2026 Primary Elections

US flag

Customize your view

Get the classic Kalshi experience. You can always switch between modes in Settings later.
Markets over MonopoliesHow fair markets protect consumers
Responsible TradingTools and tips for trading smart
Market IntegrityLearn how Kalshi prevents insider trading
Men’s Tournament Challenge

$1 BILLION BRACKET

 

Primary Elections

United States 2026
US flag

Primary Elections

United States 2026

2026 Primary Elections

US flag
Markets over MonopoliesHow fair markets protect consumers
Responsible TradingTools and tips for trading smart
Market IntegrityLearn how Kalshi prevents insider trading

Trending

1
Fed decision in March?Fed maintains rate
99%––
2
Bitcoin price at the end of 202660,000 to 64,999.99
9%
▼1
3
2028 Democratic nominee for President?Gavin Newsom
30%––

2026 Primaries

1
How many Senate Republicans will lose their primary this year?2
47%
▼2
2
How many House Republicans will lose their primary this year?7 or more
49%
▲4
3
IL-09 Democratic nominee?Daniel Biss
74%
▲3

Top movers

1
Who will release a new album this year?Migos
19%
▼77
2
WTI oil price today?$103 or above
12%
▼74
3
Who will be featured on Yeat's next album?Ken Carson
16%
▼82

New

1
What will General Mills say during their next earnings call?Wilderness
58%
▲58
2
What will Oklo say during their next earnings call?Inflation
62%
▲62
3
What will Lululemon say during their next earnings call?ShowZero
58%
▲58

Highest volume

1
Men's College Basketball ChampionDuke
$66,987,324 vol68 markets
20%
▼2
2
2028 Democratic nominee for President?Gavin Newsom
$61,939,951 vol39 markets
30%––
3
Pro Basketball Champion?Oklahoma City
$40,498,313 vol30 markets
39%––

Which party will win the U.S. Senate?

MarketPays outOdds
Republican Party
Republican Party
1.90x
Democratic Party
Democratic Party
1.93x
$2,436,779 vol

News · Democrats may have new opportunities to compete for Senate seats in Alaska, Maine, North Carolina, Ohio, Texas, and Montana as the 2026 midterms approach, according to a political analysis, The Hill Reports. The races could determine control of the chamber as the elections are framed as a referendum on the first year of President Donald Trump’s second term.

#15 or #16 seed to win a game in the Round of 64

MarketPays outOdds
Yes
6.74x
No
1.14x
$64,883 vol

News · The 68-team field for the men’s national college basketball tournament will be announced at 6 p.m. ET on Sunday, giving fans their first look at the full bracket, USA TODAY Reports. The reveal comes after most conference championship games wrapped up this weekend, allowing teams and fans to begin preparing for the opening round matchups.

Number of upsets in the Round of 64

MarketPays outOdds
7+ upsets
1.86x
8+ upsets
2.89x
$177,433 vol16 markets

News · The men's college basketball tournament's first round begins this week with 32 games across the field of 64 teams, setting the stage for the opening wave of potential upsets, CBS Sports reports. Analysts expect top contenders to advance but warn that unexpected results often emerge immediately once the bracket tips off.

Men's College Basketball Champion

MarketPays outOdds
Duke
Duke
4.73x
Michigan
Michigan
5.25x
$66,987,324 vol66 markets

News · The 68-team field for the men's national college basketball tournament was unveiled Sunday, with Duke earning the top overall seed in the East Region after winning the ACC title, NBC Sports reports. Michigan, Florida, and Arizona also secured No. 1 seeds as teams prepare for the First Four games starting March 17 in Dayton, Ohio.

Average traffic through the Strait of Hormuz on Apr 1, 2026?

MarketPays outOdds
Above 20
1.93x
Above 30
2.66x
$53,127 vol7 markets

News · Commercial maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz has effectively stopped, with no confirmed ship transits in either direction over the past 24 hours, Bloomberg Reports. The shutdown comes as as heightened risks keep oil markets on edge.

Recession this year?

MarketPays outOdds
Yes
2.89x
No
1.44x
$699,814 vol

News · Dow futures dropped more than 600 points after crude oil climbed above $100 a barrel, raising fears of stagflation as inflation risks rise while economic growth slows, CNBC reports. Analysts warn that a prolonged oil shock could leave the Federal Reserve stuck between rising prices and weakening economic activity.

2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?

MarketPays outOdds
Gavin Newsom
Gavin Newsom
4.98x
J.D. Vance
J.D. Vance
4.98x
$18,979,086 vol22 markets

News · Secretary of State Marco Rubio’s chances in the race for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination have risen amid the U.S. conflict with Iran, Newsweek reports. Vice President JD Vance still leads the field, while an Emerson College poll of likely primary voters shows Vance with a majority and Rubio a distant second.
1 of 7

Politics

Congress

How long will the government shutdown last?

At least 60 days
1.83x
At least 55 days
1.65x
$4,590,561 vol21 markets
Markets over MonopoliesHow fair markets protect consumers
Responsible TradingTools and tips for trading smart
Market IntegrityLearn how Kalshi prevents insider trading
Congress

Will members of Congress be banned from trading stocks?

Before Jan 21, 2029
1.59x
Before 2027
6.67x
$225,195 vol3 markets
Trump

Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?

Before 2027
5.25x
Before August
10.4x
$1,381,739 vol9 markets
International

What will the US tariff rate on China be on July 1?

Between 10% and 19.99%
1.37x
Between 20% and 29.99%
5.26x
$42,812 vol7 markets

Elections

US Elections

2028 Democratic nominee for President?

Gavin Newsom
Gavin Newsom
3.33x
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
11.1x
$61,939,951 vol39 markets
US Elections

2028 Republican nominee for President?

J.D. Vance
J.D. Vance
2.56x
Marco Rubio
Marco Rubio
3.57x
$22,179,432 vol31 markets
US Elections

Which party will win the U.S. House?

Democratic Party
Democratic Party
1.18x
Republican Party
Republican Party
6.25x
$6,829,831 vol2 markets
US Elections

Texas Senate winner?

Republican party
Republican party
1.72x
James Talarico
James Talarico
2.27x
$1,737,831 vol2 markets

Companies

AI

Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?

OpenAI
1.72x
xAI
2.27x
$856,238 vol14 markets
Elon Musk

Tesla deliveries in Q1 2026?

340000 or more
1.92x
350000 or more
2.17x
$484,518 vol12 markets
BTC

When will Bitcoin cross $100k again?

Before January 2027
2.17x
Before October 2026
2.50x
$3,872,139 vol8 markets
IPOs

Which Companies will officially announce an IPO this year?

OpenAI
OpenAI
2.04x
Anthropic
Anthropic
2.08x
$994,180 vol28 markets

Economics

Employment

State of the economy at the end of 2026

Soft landing
1.89x
Stagflation
4.17x
$9,123 vol4 markets
Fed

Number of rate cuts in 2026?

Exactly 1 cut
3.70x
Exactly 0 cuts
3.70x
$2,111,444 vol21 markets
Employment

More tech layoffs in 20​26 than in 2025?

Yes
1.15x
No
6.74x
$2,754,190 vol1 market
Employment

How high will unemployment get before 2030?

Above 9%
1.92x
Above 8%
1.61x
$9,165 vol10 markets