Fed decision in May?
No change
87%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Cut 25bps
12%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$35,985,739
Fed funds rate in May?
Above 4.25%
89%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 4.00%
97%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$30,437,483
Number of rate cuts in 2025?
2 cuts
20%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––3 cuts
18%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$8,365,254·Annually
Number of emergency rate cuts this year?
0 cuts
70%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––2 cuts
10%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$79,967
Next Fed rate hike?
Before 2027
33%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before 2026
12%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$361,269