Number of rate cuts in 2025?
2 cuts
27%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––1 cuts
18%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$7,522,164
Fed funds rate in December?
Above 4.00%
47%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Above 3.75%
65%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$25,167,954
Number of emergency rate cuts this year?
0 cuts
83%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––1 cuts
7%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$30,367
Fed decision in March?
No change
95%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Cut 25bps
5%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$15,558,251