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Number of rate cuts in 2025?
2 cuts
28%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
1 cuts
23%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$7,007,030
Fed funds rate in March?
Above 4.25%
70%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Above 4.00%
97%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$24,911,024
Number of emergency rate cuts this year?
0 cuts
81%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
2 cuts
7%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$18,578
Will the Fed do a rate cut of more than 25bps this year?
26%
Yes
$100 →
$365
No
$100 →
$128
$34,179
Will the Fed have an emergency meeting in 2025?
19%
Yes
$100 →
$438
No
$100 →
$120
$103,769
Powell out as Chair this year?
21%
Yes
$100 →
$380
No
$100 →
$128
$46,128
Next Fed rate hike?
Before 2026
18%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$307,385
Fed decision in January?
No change
98%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
Cut 25bps
3%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 →
$––
No
$100 →
$––
$13,999,440
16:30:36
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