Who will be the Canadian Prime Minister after the next election?
Liberal Party
75%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Conservative Party
25%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$2,501,200
Next government of Canada?
Liberal majority
57%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Liberal minority
18%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$725,440
How many seats will the Liberal Party win in the Canadian election?
190 to 210
25%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––180 to 189
18%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$215,109
Who will be the Democratic nominee in 2028?
Gavin Newsom
15%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Josh Shapiro
9%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$3,453,235
Will Trump declassify Epstein documents in his first 100 days?
Yes
$100 → $940No
$100 → $108$3,406,524
How many seats will the Conservatives win in the Canadian election?
120 to 139
38%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––100 to 119
16%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$291,467
Which party will win the most seats in the 2025 Canadian House of Commons Election?
Liberal party
76%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Conservative party
25%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$318,414
How much government spending will Trump and Elon cut this year?
At least 1 billion
26%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––At least 25 billion
23%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$3,275,773
Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?
Howard Lutnick
26%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Pete Hegseth
24%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$208,125
How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago this month?
2
67%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––3
34%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$616,118
Who will win the Romanian presidential election?
Nicusor Dan
31%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Crin Antonescu
31%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,541,718
What will Powell say during his May FOMC press conference?
Consumer confidence
52%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Median
42%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$714,437
Who will leave their role in Trump Administration this year?
Peter Navarro
45%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Howard Lutnick
32%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$118,025
Which party will win Nunavut in the Canadian election?
New Democratic Party
63%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Liberal Party
42%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$5,051
Will Elon Musk leave the DOGE?
Before Jun 16, 2025
49%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before Jan 1, 2026
83%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$926,881
How many seats will the Bloc Québécois win in the Canadian election?
16 to 20
34%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––21 to 25
25%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$26,157
How many Gold Cards will Trump sell this year?
0
17%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––1 to 100
16%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$166,069
What will Leavitt say in her next press briefing?
Israel
51%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Budget
33%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$2,828,719
Who will be the Dem NYC Mayor nominee this year?
Andrew Cuomo
84%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Zohran Mamdani
12%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,090,250
How much will the government increase spending this year?
At least $500 billion
25%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––At least $100 billion
83%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$219,385
Which party will win the U.S. Senate next year?
Republican Party
71%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Democratic Party
29%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,880,723
Will Trump issue an executive order about sanctuary cities before May?
Yes
$100 → $326No
$100 → $124$8,779
Which party will win Saanich—Gulf Islands in the Canadian election?
Green Party
48%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Liberal Party
28%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$7,621
What countries will Elon Musk visit this year?
India
87%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Canada
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,101
Democratic nominee for Governor in New Jersey?
Mikie Sherrill
70%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Steven Fulop
22%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$86,660
Which party will win the House next year?
Democratic Party
83%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Republican Party
17%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$3,234,446
Who will be the Republican nominee in 2028?
J.D. Vance
42%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Tulsi Gabbard
11%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,505,130
Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?
Roy Cooper
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
41%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$5,440
What countries will Trump visit in the first year?
South Korea
52%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––France
46%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$658,784
Who will win the South Korean presidential election?
Lee Jae-myung
85%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Kim Moon-soo
7%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$28,351
Who will win the Senate race in Iowa?
Republican party
78%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Democratic party
22%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$14,068
Will Trump impose a general import tariff on all goods before May?
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,983
Which countries will Trump impose a travel ban on in the first 100 days?
Libya
11%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Iran
10%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$280,327
What will RFK ban this year?
Aspartame
7%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Seed oils
9%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$145,767
When will Trump end his tariffs against China?
Before Dec 2025
31%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before Jun 2025
11%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$30,754
What will the U.S. tariff rate on China be on Apr 30, 2025?
100% to 149.99%
79%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––200% to 299.99%
2%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$22,346
Which countries will impose tariffs on the US before Q3 2025?
European Union
43%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Mexico
35%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$192,019
Which vaccines will RFK end recommendations for this year?
COVID-19
41%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––HPV
22%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$163,268
Who will be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?
Raja Krishnamoorthi
28%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Lauren Underwood
45%
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$15,834
What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before July?
Ocean State Tactical, LLC v. Rhode Island
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––L.M. v. Town of Middleborough
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,620·Daily
Who will be the next Australian Prime Minister?
Anthony Albanese
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Peter Dutton
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$34,734·Daily
When will NJ Transit workers go on strike?
Before Jun 1, 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before May 1, 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$13,589·Daily
Who will be the Portuguese Prime Minister after their election?
Luís Montenegro
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Pedro Nuno Santos
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$7,818·Daily
Will the US government stop recommending fluoride in water?
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$126,640·Daily
Who will Trump meet with this year?
Vladimir Putin
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Xi Jinping
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$224,156·Daily
Will Trump eliminate the Department of Education this year?
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,057,560·Daily
Who will the Trump admin name to a specific position before May?
Kari Lake
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Corey Lewandowski
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$3,982,963·Daily
Who will win the governorship in New Jersey?
Democratic Party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Republican Party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$114,307·Daily
When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave?
Before October
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before July
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$28,655·Daily
How many seats will the New Democratic Party win in the Canadian election?
9 or below
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––10 to 15
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$23,468·Daily
Will the courts block any part of any of Trump's tariffs this year?
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$14,346·Daily
Will it be reported that US has deported a citizen to El Salvador this year?
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$7,947·Daily
Who will win the Chilean presidential election?
Evelyn Matthei
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––José Antonio Kast
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,687·Daily
How many bills will Trump veto this year?
At least 1
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––At least 3
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$63,712·Daily
Which agencies will Trump eliminate?
USAID
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––EPA
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$62,196·Daily
What party will be 3rd in the Canadian election?
Bloc Québécois
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––New Democratic Party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$4,513·Daily
Which party will win the 2025 NYC Mayor race?
Democratic
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Republican
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$25,296·Daily
When will David Perdue be confirmed as Ambassador to China?
Before May 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before Jun 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$2,507·Daily
Will Trump's birthright citizenship order come into effect this year?
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$22,254·Daily
Will Zelenskyy be removed by the Ukrainian parliament this year?
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$10,687·Daily
Democratic nominee for Governor in New York?
Kathy Hochul
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Ritchie Torres
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$35,681·Daily
Will the Senate overrule the parliamentarian on budget reconciliation?
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$3,024·Daily
Will the FBI announce a partnership with the UFC to train its agents before July?
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$5,465·Daily
Who will win the next Turkish presidential election?
Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Ekrem İmamoğlu
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Daily
Republican nominee for Governor in New Jersey?
Jack Ciattarelli
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Bill Spadea
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$62,917·Daily
Who will visit Mar-a-Lago this year?
Sam Altman
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Benjamin Netanyahu
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$125,082·Daily
The President's RCP approval rating on Friday?
46.1 to 46.5
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––46.6 to 47.0
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$2,434,315·Daily
Will Trump launch tariffs on EU alcohol?
Before Dec 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before Jun 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$6,692·Daily
When will Trump end his tariffs against Canada?
Before Dec 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before Jun 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$45,212·Daily
Who will be Trump's FEMA Administrator?
Kevin Guthrie
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Jared Moskowitz
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$22,556·Daily
Will South Korea's Acting President be impeached before June?
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$84,910·Daily
When will a budget reconciliation bill become law?
Before September 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before July 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$43,430·Daily
Will existential AI risk be mentioned in the White House Briefing Room this year?
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$17,451·Daily
What countries will Marco Rubio visit this year?
China
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Denmark
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$5,700·Daily
Which Supreme Court justices will resign during Trump's term?
Clarence Thomas
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Samuel Alito
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$7,190·Daily
Will The Washington Post be banned from White House pressers this year?
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Daily
When will Tilman Fertitta be confirmed as Ambassador to Italy?
Before May 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before Jul 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$7,262·Daily
Will Chuck Schumer no longer be Senate Minority Leader this year?
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$18,485·Daily
Will Trump fire any more regulators with fixed terms before July?
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,877·Daily
What assets will Trump's crypto reserve acquire this year?
Bitcoin
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––XRP
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$25,207·Daily
Will the Trump Administration sue the Atlantic or Jeffrey Goldberg before July?
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Daily
What states will Trump sue over their trans sports policies?
Minnesota
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––California
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$10,130·Daily
Who will win the Senate race in Alaska?
Republican party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Democratic party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$21,403·Daily
Who will vote for the next budget reconciliation bill in the House?
Thomas Massie
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Jared Golden
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$8,985·Daily
Will Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$36,393·Daily
When will the House pass a reconciliation bill?
Before June 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Before September 2025
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$392,108·Daily
Who will win the Senate race in New Hampshire?
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Republican party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$18,248·Daily
Who will be the Republican nominee for Governor in Florida?
Byron Donalds
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Casey DeSantis
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$32,321·Daily
How many deportations in Trump's first year?
At least 500,000
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––At least 250,000
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$472,363·Daily
Who will win the Senate race in North Carolina?
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Republican party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$17,275·Daily
Republican nominee for Governor in New York?
Elise Stefanik
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Mike Lawler
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––NEW
·Daily
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be mentioned in the White House Briefing Room this year?
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$2,133·Daily
Will a federal court rule that Trump’s Schedule F order is unlawful this year?
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Daily
What will be in the next reconciliation bill?
Higher work requirement for SNAP recipients
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––"No tax on tips"
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$81,497·Daily
Will Trump end the de minimis exception for all tariffs this year?
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$5,669·Daily
How many Trump Cabinet members will leave in the first year?
2
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––0
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$8,830·Daily
Will John Thune no longer be Senate Majority Leader this year?
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$3,763·Daily
Will the DOJ claim in federal court that any of President Biden's pardons are void?
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,018·Daily
Who will win the Senate race in Virginia?
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Republican party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$5,694·Daily
Who will win the Senate race in Texas?
Republican party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Democratic party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$4,328,212·Daily
Who will win the Senate race in South Carolina?
Republican party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Democratic party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$5,699·Daily
Who will win the Senate race in Ohio?
Republican party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Democratic party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$25,564·Daily
Who will win the Senate race in New Mexico?
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Republican party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,789·Daily
Who will win the Senate race in Nebraska?
Republican party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Democratic party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,441,713·Daily
Who will win the Senate race in Montana?
Republican party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Democratic party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$823,300·Daily
Who will win the Senate race in Minnesota?
Democratic (DFL) party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Republican party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$5,993·Daily
Who will win the Senate race in Michigan?
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Republican party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,243,949·Daily
Who will win the Senate race in Maine?
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Republican party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$16,426·Daily
Who will win the Senate race in Kentucky?
Republican party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Democratic party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$29,352·Daily
Who will win the Senate race in Kansas?
Republican party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Democratic party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$1,032·Daily
Who will win the Senate race in Georgia?
Democratic party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––Republican party
Yes
/
No
Yes
$100 → $––No
$100 → $––$33,315·Daily