Who will win the governorship in Washington? Odds & Predictions 2024
Who will win the governorship in Washington?
Who will win the governorship in Washington?
Bob Ferguson
Yes
Bob Ferguson
Yes
Dave Reichert
No
Dave Reichert
No
Market Rules
Bob Ferguson
The outcome is Bob Ferguson
Resolves Yes ifBob Ferguson or another representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Washington pursuant to the 2024 election.Outcome verified from US State Governments.
Note: this event is mutually exclusive.
Timeline and payout
Market openOct 30, 2024 · 10:00am EDT
Market closedAfter the outcome occurs
Paid out1 minute after closing
This market will close early following the first person to be sworn in as governor pursuant to the 2024 gubernatorial election. Otherwise, it closes by Jan 16, 2025 at 2:26pm EST.
SeriesGOVPARTYWA
EventGOVPARTYWA-24
MarketGOVPARTYWA-24-D
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Holders of federal and statewide public office.
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Anyone working in a vote-tallying capacity, or who has the potential ability to observe official vote counts before they are public.
Third-party vendors and contractors (and employees thereof) of gubernatorial campaigns.
Paid employees of Democratic and Republican Party organizations, such as the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee or the Republican National Committee.
Paid employees of Political Action Committees (PACs) and “Super PACs” (independent expenditure only political committees).
Paid employees of major polling organizations.
Employees of Decision Desks at major media organizations.
All Electors who may cast ballots in connection with the determination of the President and/or Vice-President of the United States.
All staff of the U.S. House of Representatives and its members.
All staff of the U.S. Senate and its members.
All staff of the Office of the President of the United States.
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Any candidate currently listed as a market within this event