Will a paper with AI as an author be published in 2025? Odds & Predictions
Will a paper with AI as an author be published in 2025?
Will a paper with AI as an author be published in 2025?
$30,382 vol
Order book
No
Market Rules
The outcome is No
If a paper is published in NeurIPS, ICML, or ICLR before Jan 1, 2026 that lists an AI as an author, then the market resolves toYes. Sources from NeurIPS, ICML, and ICLR.
Pre-prints are not encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
Timeline and payout
Market openJun 17, 2025 · 4:45pm EDT
Market closedAfter the outcome occurs
Paid out30 minutes after closing
This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. Otherwise, it closes by Dec 31, 2025 at 11:59pm EST.
SeriesKXAIAUTHOR
EventKXAIAUTHOR-25
MarketKXAIAUTHOR-25
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