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AK-AL primary: Who will advance? Odds & Predictions 2026
Elections
·
Primaries
AK-AL primary: Who will advance?
Elections
·
Primaries
AK-AL primary: Who will advance?
Begins in
68 days
·
Aug 18, 8:00am EDT
Chance
Bill Hill
84%
Yes
85¢
No
21¢
Bill Hill
84%
Yes
85¢
No
21¢
John Brendan Williams
59%
Yes
65¢
No
42¢
John Brendan Williams
59%
Yes
65¢
No
42¢
Matthew Williams
25%
Yes
18¢
No
83¢
Matthew Williams
25%
Yes
18¢
No
83¢
2 more
Market Rules
Nicholas Begich
If Nicholas Begich advances in the 2026 Alaska top-four primary, then the market resolves to
Yes
.
Outcome verified from
Alaska Division of Elections
.
View full rules
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Report Insider Trading
Timeline and payout
Market open
May 19, 2026 · 10:00am EDT
Market closes
May 18, 2028 · 10:00am EDT
Projected payout
May 18, 2028 · 10:30am EDT
Series
KXAKPRIMARY
Event
KXAKPRIMARY-26MAY19
Market
KXAKPRIMARY-26MAY19-NBEG
Insider trading is prohibited
The following are prohibited from trading this contract:
Persons who are employed by any of the Source Agencies are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Persons who hold any material, non-public information on the Underlying are not permitted to trade on the Contract.
Primary Elections
United States 2026
Primary Elections
United States 2026
2026 Primary Elections
$1,998 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL