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  1. Senate

When will AP call the Texas Senate election?

LIVE
AP's first definitive call
Chance
Before 10PM Nov 3
34%
▼ 16

Before 10PM Nov 3

34%
▼ 16
Before 11PM Nov 3
58%
▼ 20

Before 11PM Nov 3

58%
▼ 20
Before Nov 4
75%
▼ 12

Before Nov 4

75%
▼ 12
2 more

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When will AP call the Texas Senate election?

Before 10PM Nov 3

Odds
32% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2026
$0
$3,101 vol
Race Intel
CandidatePollsRaisedSmall Donors
  • James TalaricoD49.3%
    49.3%
    $68.6M
    54%
    $68.6M raised·54% small donors
  • Ken PaxtonR45.6%
    45.6%
    $19.5M
    19%
    $19.5M raised·19% small donors
Polling averages · Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.
Past presidential elections
2024R +13.7%2020R +5.6%
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